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The Most Interesting Economic News Since AMT’s Spring Outlook Webinar

In the past eight weeks, a lot has happened: a hawkish pause from the Federal Reserve, two strong jobs reports, and much more. Catch up on what’s happened by registering for AMT’s Summer Economic Outlook Webinar on Thursday, August 3 at 1:00 p.m. EDT
Jul 14, 2023

As we quickly approach the Summer Economic Outlook Webinar, hosted by AMT – The Association for Manufacturing Technology, it would be worthwhile to take note of all of the events that have taken place since the last webinar. In the eight weeks since AMT last hosted Mark Killion, director of U.S. industry at Oxford Economics, we have seen a hawkish pause from the Federal Reserve, two strong jobs reports, one big GDP revision, and a lower-than-expected CPI reading. 

Just weeks after the last update, the Federal Reserve decided at their June meeting to keep interest rates unchanged, yet issued a starkly more hawkish statement, signaling future rate hikes were all but certain.  The pause indicated the Fed was getting closer to reaching its goal of reducing inflation but likely still had some way to go. Subsequently released data strengthened this view as 2023 Q1 GDP was revised up to 2% annualized growth, in quite a significant change that brings growth roughly back to trend and showed the economy has been resilient despite the previous ten consecutive rate increases from the Federal Reserve. The release of the June jobs report, while missing expectations, still showed a robust labor market which added over 200,000 jobs —  well above the monthly average from January 2018 to December 2019. This landscape was further complicated last week by a lower inflation reading than was expected. While the CPI data was not the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation and still showed a reading above the target rate, it rallied markets by calling into question the certainty of a July interest rate hike. 

The July Fed meeting is next week and from that meeting we can get a lot of valuable data to help steer our expectations of where the economy is heading, how it will impact manufacturing and how business can react. To help make sense of this deluge of information, AMT will host the Summer Economic Update Webinar featuring an updated forecast from Mark Killion with Q&A moderated by Chris Chidzik, principal economist at AMT on Thursday, August 3 at 1:00 p.m. EDT. There is no cost to attend, but you must register to secure your spot. 

Christopher Chidzik
Principal Economist
Recent intelligence News
The speakers at AMT’s upcoming Spring Economic Webinar will break down how recent developments on the global stage, including military conflicts, inflation, and more, could impact orders of manufacturing technology and your business. Don't miss it.
At the AMT Winter Economic Forum, economists predicted the upcoming year will feature several opportunities for manufacturers as the economy comes in for a soft landing, including 8% growth in manufacturing technology orders. Is your company ready?
Geopolitical tensions. Recessionary fears. A presidential election. With this much global volatility, it’s more important than ever to get good, reliable market data and insights. Join us for the latest industry forecasts at the 2024 Winter Economic Forum.
When facing the prospect of industry-specific slowdowns or a rolling recession, it is important to use the data most applicable to your industry to track your performance and anticipate changing customer demand.
Recent trends captured by the U.S. Manufacturing Technology Orders Report published by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology indicate that orders for manufacturing technology indeed responded “very, very quickly” to the rate-hiking cycle.
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